Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.032499 0.037767 0.043561 0.050399 0.058241 0.066944 0.077329
2025-10-19 0.024000 0.030702 0.038750 0.049093 0.062003 0.077550 0.097658
2025-10-26 0.018716 0.026040 0.035529 0.048655 0.066265 0.088985 0.120425
2025-11-02 0.014661 0.021995 0.032166 0.047182 0.068646 0.098053 0.141195
2025-11-09 0.011812 0.018972 0.029527 0.046044 0.071021 0.107102 0.162812
2025-11-16 0.009931 0.016969 0.027933 0.046008 0.074745 0.118249 0.188515
2025-11-23 0.008226 0.014897 0.025841 0.044785 0.076335 0.126201 0.210139
2025-11-30 0.007450 0.014210 0.025821 0.046802 0.083199 0.142934 0.247163
2025-12-07 0.006490 0.013020 0.024747 0.046831 0.086672 0.154456 0.276837
2025-12-14 0.005485 0.011563 0.022963 0.045316 0.087198 0.160968 0.298604
2025-12-21 0.004784 0.010564 0.021856 0.044846 0.089462 0.170607 0.326643
2025-12-28 0.004526 0.010416 0.022344 0.047445 0.097683 0.191645 0.377141
2026-01-04 0.004179 0.010035 0.022342 0.049133 0.104463 0.210934 0.426798
2026-01-11 0.003602 0.009050 0.020952 0.047801 0.105107 0.218698 0.455467
2026-01-18 0.003180 0.008340 0.020042 0.047345 0.107461 0.229993 0.492121
2026-01-25 0.002746 0.007521 0.018763 0.045896 0.107518 0.236654 0.520125
2026-02-01 0.002395 0.006844 0.017703 0.044780 0.108136 0.244477 0.551213
2026-02-08 0.002155 0.006407 0.017143 0.044741 0.111128 0.257550 0.594535
2026-02-15 0.001885 0.005835 0.016162 0.043549 0.111307 0.264528 0.625359
2026-02-22 0.001798 0.005765 0.016442 0.045512 0.119162 0.289231 0.697527
2026-03-01 0.001633 0.005432 0.015988 0.045541 0.122326 0.303618 0.747812
2026-03-08 0.001426 0.004935 0.015011 0.044064 0.121571 0.308855 0.777566
2026-03-15 0.001282 0.004603 0.014443 0.043606 0.123343 0.320208 0.822675